The Collapse Of Stern Bears Could be a Good Thing

The collapse of Bear Stearns has sent shockwavesAgain, the psychological impact could be as great as
across the international economy. One of the five bigthe direct impact: As newspapers like the New York
New York investment firms, its demise has had aTimes and other major NYC publications write articles
psychological effect on the economy perhaps greaterin their real estate sections about the possibility of a
than its actual direct impact."Bear Sterns discount," more and more buyers may
Its timing for the national economy is also particularlybegin to wait for another six months before
bad: When the consensus has just developed thatpurchasing a home, and thus the self-fulfilling phase of
the economy is decidedly in a recession, all of aa recession kicks in.
sudden a major New York bank has vanished, makingWhile very few people are excited by the prospect
what could be perceived as a mild recession look likeof a recession, the prospect does hold out some
a possibly massive one.home for the New York apartment market: Prices
The same is even more true for the Manhattan realhave grown so high that many middle-class potential
estate market. The city had started to just barelybuyers have been priced out of even modest homes
noticeably tip in the direction of a seller's marketin or close to Manhattan. While a recession would
from the balance that had existed as a sort ofcertainly be bad for the luxury market, the city as a
buyer-seller detente during the turn of the year. Newwhole may avert some of the extremely rapid
York apartments were by and large losing a little ofgentrification that could end up damaging the city's
their value, though the market as a whole was beingculture in the long run.
held up by a luxury market that has been perhapsCertainly, a significant recession would do terrible
the single strongest real estate market in thethings to the Manhattan real estate market in the
country.short to medium term. However, it may also be the
Now, some worry that the collapse of Bear Stearnsonly thing that can bring on a correction to the real
and the resulting job loss in the financial sector couldestate bubble that has so visibly effected the city's
lead to a significant reduction in the demand fordemographics and development over the past
luxury Manhattan apartments.decade or so.